Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.453839e-03 0.001615 0.001777 0.001952 0.002134 0.002320 0.002521
2025-01-26 1.179078e-03 0.001419 0.001669 0.001947 0.002246 0.002556 0.002901
2025-02-02 9.779794e-04 0.001272 0.001589 0.001952 0.002351 0.002774 0.003251
2025-02-09 8.684360e-04 0.001210 0.001588 0.002030 0.002525 0.003057 0.003664
2025-02-16 7.877560e-04 0.001168 0.001601 0.002116 0.002702 0.003337 0.004069
2025-02-23 6.231741e-04 0.001012 0.001469 0.002027 0.002673 0.003383 0.004211
2025-03-02 5.020163e-04 0.000895 0.001374 0.001972 0.002675 0.003457 0.004378
2025-03-09 4.172334e-04 0.000815 0.001316 0.001955 0.002716 0.003571 0.004585
2025-03-16 3.546409e-04 0.000758 0.001282 0.001961 0.002780 0.003708 0.004817
2025-03-23 3.219587e-04 0.000738 0.001292 0.002020 0.002905 0.003914 0.005124
2025-03-30 2.801715e-04 0.000701 0.001277 0.002044 0.002987 0.004068 0.005371
2025-04-06 2.353006e-04 0.000654 0.001245 0.002046 0.003039 0.004186 0.005575
2025-04-13 1.743301e-04 0.000576 0.001173 0.002001 0.003043 0.004258 0.005737
2025-04-20 1.346384e-04 0.000528 0.001138 0.002003 0.003105 0.004398 0.005981
2025-04-27 1.022717e-04 0.000485 0.001110 0.002012 0.003173 0.004546 0.006234
2025-05-04 9.014334e-05 0.000481 0.001136 0.002092 0.003330 0.004799 0.006611
2025-05-11 8.095145e-05 0.000482 0.001169 0.002181 0.003497 0.005064 0.007000
2025-05-18 4.288876e-05 0.000401 0.001072 0.002091 0.003437 0.005055 0.007068
2025-05-25 2.028241e-05 0.000342 0.001003 0.002034 0.003417 0.005092 0.007187
2025-06-01 8.612709e-06 0.000304 0.000963 0.002017 0.003445 0.005186 0.007372
2025-06-08 2.790001e-06 0.000277 0.000941 0.002023 0.003502 0.005315 0.007598
2025-06-15 1.149642e-06 0.000272 0.000957 0.002083 0.003630 0.005529 0.007925
2025-06-22 4.279529e-09 0.000255 0.000949 0.002108 0.003710 0.005685 0.008183